Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Bonino 48.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 69.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 67.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 67.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Sutter
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sutter
Bonino
Last 6: Sutter 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Sutter
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Sutter
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
48.7% (917)
+5.9%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
53.2% (94)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
42.1% (202)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Bonino is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bonino
Home
55.0% (714)
51.0% (629)
Away
53.5% (738)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Sutter
Bonino
P1
54.3%
49.0%
P2
53.1%
45.4%
P3
54.8%
50.2%
OT
63.3%
23.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |