Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Foligno 48.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 57.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 80.0%
Neutral zone
Sutter 68.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Sutter
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Sutter
Foligno
Last 10: Sutter 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Sutter
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
1
Sutter
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
47.1% (227)
+3.9%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
46.7% (15)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
52.4% (21)
-6.5%
On power play, Sutter has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Sutter is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Sutter shoots right. Foligno is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Sutter
Foligno
Home
51.4% (692)
45.7% (116)
Away
49.8% (667)
49.0% (147)
By Period
Sutter
Foligno
P1
50.6%
53.8%
P2
49.1%
50.0%
P3
52.5%
40.4%
OT
45.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 13, 2014 | OT | 01:35 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |