Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.8%). Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 49.2% vs Foligno 49.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 80.7%
Defensive zone
Sutter 80.7%
Neutral zone
Sutter 57.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Sutter
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sutter
Foligno
Last 5: Sutter 4-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Sutter
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (274)
47.0% (202)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
57.9% (95)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (78)
40.9% (22)
+5.3%
On power play, Foligno has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Sutter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Sutter shoots right. Foligno is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Sutter
Foligno
Home
46.6% (178)
50.6% (162)
Away
51.0% (200)
49.0% (157)
By Period
Sutter
Foligno
P1
43.5%
48.9%
P2
51.7%
47.8%
P3
52.4%
53.8%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |