Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Paul 52.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 65.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 59.0%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Sutter
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Sutter
Paul
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Sutter
Paul
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
52.5% (3,796)
-1.6%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
56.5% (480)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
46.7% (574)
-0.3%
On power play, Paul has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Sutter
Paul
Home
50.6% (5,050)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Sutter
Paul
P1
48.7%
53.9%
P2
50.3%
51.0%
P3
51.5%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |