Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.6% vs Paul 51.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 59.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 71.5%
Neutral zone
Sutter 73.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Sutter
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Sutter
Paul
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Sutter
Paul
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (390)
56.2% (274)
-0.8%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
52.9% (17)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (95)
43.4% (129)
+11.3%
On power play, Sutter has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Sutter is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Sutter shoots right. Paul is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Sutter
Paul
Home
57.3% (260)
52.3% (235)
Away
53.6% (237)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Sutter
Paul
P1
54.4%
53.2%
P2
57.3%
53.8%
P3
54.8%
49.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
55.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |