Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 47.9% vs Spaling 51.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 55.7%
Defensive zone
Sutter 71.6%
Neutral zone
Sutter 67.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Sutter
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sutter
Spaling
Last 5: Sutter 1-4 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Sutter
Spaling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
3
Sutter
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (863)
56.3% (119)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (72)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (215)
44.2% (43)
-4.7%
On power play, Sutter has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Sutter is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Sutter shoots right. Spaling is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Sutter
Spaling
Home
48.5% (542)
40.0% (45)
Away
47.0% (608)
57.4% (122)
By Period
Sutter
Spaling
P1
49.2%
47.1%
P2
49.4%
52.2%
P3
44.6%
61.4%
OT
52.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 08:49 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |