Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.6% vs Patrick 50.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 87.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 70.0%
Neutral zone
Patrick 68.6%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Sutter
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sutter
Patrick
Last 5: Sutter 1-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
3
Sutter
Patrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (846)
50.6% (719)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
50.0% (22)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (241)
50.0% (2)
-2.7%
On power play, Sutter has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Sutter is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Sutter shoots right. Patrick is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Sutter
Patrick
Home
51.2% (529)
50.1% (391)
Away
52.2% (573)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Sutter
Patrick
P1
50.9%
54.4%
P2
52.8%
49.3%
P3
52.1%
47.5%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
51.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |