Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Jokinen 47.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 87.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 50.5%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 70.1%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Sutter
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Sutter
Jokinen
Last 8: Sutter 2-6 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Sutter
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Sutter
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
2
Sutter
Jokinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (565)
46.8% (566)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (64)
53.4% (58)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (132)
80.0% (5)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Sutter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Sutter shoots right. Jokinen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Sutter
Jokinen
Home
53.5% (381)
49.5% (319)
Away
46.8% (380)
45.7% (311)
By Period
Sutter
Jokinen
P1
48.6%
49.1%
P2
52.1%
47.9%
P3
50.0%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |