Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 45.0%). Look for Elias on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Elias 45.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 60.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 63.1%
Neutral zone
Elias 50.3%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Sutter
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sutter
Elias
Last 7: Sutter 2-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Sutter
Elias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Sutter
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Sutter
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
44.5% (407)
+0.2%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
47.8% (23)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
46.8% (62)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Elias has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Sutter is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (895).
Sutter shoots right. Elias is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Sutter
Elias
Home
44.3% (705)
44.8% (252)
Away
44.4% (644)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Sutter
Elias
P1
41.0%
43.0%
P2
42.1%
47.8%
P3
49.1%
43.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |