Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 47.9% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaustad 53.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 88.7%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 75.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 84.3%
15.7%
84.3%
Sutter
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sutter
Gaustad
Last 6: Sutter 4-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (863)
59.3% (913)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (72)
72.2% (18)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (215)
52.8% (269)
-13.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Sutter is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Sutter shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Sutter
Gaustad
Home
48.5% (542)
58.6% (604)
Away
47.0% (608)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Sutter
Gaustad
P1
49.2%
61.5%
P2
49.4%
55.7%
P3
44.6%
56.6%
OT
52.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |