Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Varone 47.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Varone 54.3%
Defensive zone
Sutter 72.3%
Neutral zone
Sutter 55.1%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Sutter
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Sutter
Varone
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Varone
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
2
Sutter
Varone
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
1
3
Sutter
Varone
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
47.5% (575)
+3.4%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
38.5% (13)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
50.0% (2)
-3.6%
On power play, Sutter has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Sutter
Varone
Home
50.6% (5,050)
48.0% (221)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Sutter
Varone
P1
48.7%
50.0%
P2
50.3%
42.7%
P3
51.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 01:33 | Neutral | Phil Varone |