Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Varone 46.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 65.7%
Defensive zone
Varone 58.3%
Neutral zone
Varone 58.4%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Sutter
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Sutter
Varone
Last 7: Sutter 3-4 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Varone
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Varone
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
0
2
Sutter
Varone
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
45.4% (315)
+5.6%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
36.4% (11)
+21.3%
On power play, Sutter has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Sutter is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Sutter shoots right. Varone is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Sutter
Varone
Home
51.4% (692)
44.5% (119)
Away
49.8% (667)
45.4% (207)
By Period
Sutter
Varone
P1
50.6%
44.5%
P2
49.1%
38.6%
P3
52.5%
53.5%
OT
45.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Phil Varone |