Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.6% vs Carpenter 50.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 53.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 73.4%
Neutral zone
Sutter 53.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Sutter
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sutter
Carpenter
Last 5: Sutter 3-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Sutter
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Sutter
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (846)
48.4% (314)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
60.0% (5)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (241)
57.0% (79)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Sutter is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Sutter shoots right. Carpenter is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Sutter
Carpenter
Home
51.2% (529)
55.8% (197)
Away
52.2% (573)
44.8% (201)
By Period
Sutter
Carpenter
P1
50.9%
48.3%
P2
52.8%
47.8%
P3
52.1%
54.6%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
51.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |