Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.6% vs Johansen 55.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 89.3%
Defensive zone
Sutter 81.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 68.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Sutter
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Sutter
Johansen
Last 10: Sutter 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
0
Sutter
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Sutter
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (846)
55.9% (1,157)
-3.1%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
56.5% (237)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (241)
43.3% (67)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Sutter is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Sutter shoots right. Johansen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Sutter
Johansen
Home
51.2% (529)
55.8% (733)
Away
52.2% (573)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Sutter
Johansen
P1
50.9%
53.5%
P2
52.8%
55.9%
P3
52.1%
57.2%
OT
30.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
47.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
51.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |