Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 49.2% vs MacInnis 47.2% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacInnis 61.3%
Defensive zone
Sutter 80.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 62.9%
Result
Ryan MacInnis favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Sutter
MacInnis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sutter
MacInnis
Last 5: Sutter 3-2 MacInnis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
MacInnis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
MacInnis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
MacInnis
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (274)
37.0% (27)
+12.6%
On even strength, Sutter has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacInnis shoots left. Sutter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Sutter shoots right. MacInnis is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Sutter
MacInnis
Home
46.6% (178)
37.5% (24)
Away
51.0% (200)
33.3% (3)
By Period
Sutter
MacInnis
P1
43.5%
20.0%
P2
51.7%
40.0%
P3
52.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
14.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.9%
MacInnis
46.0%▲
44.2%
37.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |