Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 47.9% vs Monahan 46.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 79.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 59.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 59.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Sutter
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sutter
Monahan
Last 7: Sutter 2-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Sutter
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Sutter
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (863)
45.9% (908)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (72)
49.1% (108)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (215)
30.0% (20)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sutter is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Sutter shoots right. Monahan is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Sutter
Monahan
Home
48.5% (542)
48.7% (528)
Away
47.0% (608)
43.1% (508)
By Period
Sutter
Monahan
P1
49.2%
50.1%
P2
49.4%
44.7%
P3
44.6%
42.7%
OT
52.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |