Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Gionta 42.3% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 91.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 78.7%
Neutral zone
Sutter 82.5%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Sutter
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sutter
Gionta
Last 5: Sutter 4-1 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
40.3% (303)
+10.7%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
66.7% (6)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
38.8% (85)
+7.1%
On even strength, Sutter has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Sutter is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (506).
Sutter shoots right. Gionta is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Sutter
Gionta
Home
51.4% (692)
42.8% (166)
Away
49.8% (667)
38.6% (228)
By Period
Sutter
Gionta
P1
50.6%
41.7%
P2
49.1%
42.3%
P3
52.5%
37.8%
OT
45.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |