Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.6%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Stamkos 49.6% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 81.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 62.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Sutter
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Sutter
Stamkos
Last 9: Sutter 2-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Sutter
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Sutter
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Sutter
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (565)
48.1% (669)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (64)
58.2% (110)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (132)
50.0% (40)
+0.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Sutter is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Sutter shoots right. Stamkos is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stamkos
Home
53.5% (381)
52.0% (402)
Away
46.8% (380)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Sutter
Stamkos
P1
48.6%
46.3%
P2
52.1%
52.4%
P3
50.0%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |