Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.2%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.6% vs Stamkos 52.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 84.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 80.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Sutter
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Sutter
Stamkos
Last 10: Sutter 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Sutter
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Sutter
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (846)
51.4% (725)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
53.7% (123)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (241)
61.4% (44)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Sutter is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Sutter shoots right. Stamkos is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (529)
53.3% (426)
Away
52.2% (573)
51.3% (466)
By Period
Sutter
Stamkos
P1
50.9%
56.6%
P2
52.8%
48.2%
P3
52.1%
52.7%
OT
30.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
51.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |