Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sestito on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Sestito 46.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sestito 78.0%
Defensive zone
Sestito 59.5%
Neutral zone
Sestito 64.0%
Result
Tim Sestito favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Sutter
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sutter
Sestito
Last 8: Sutter 3-5 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
1
4
Sutter
Sestito
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Sestito
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Sestito
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
45.7% (457)
+5.2%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
55.6% (9)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
34.2% (38)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Sestito is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Sutter
Sestito
Home
50.6% (5,050)
48.0% (273)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Sutter
Sestito
P1
48.7%
42.5%
P2
50.3%
42.1%
P3
51.5%
52.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |