Scouting Report
Tim Sestito holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sestito on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Sestito 47.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sestito 53.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 67.5%
Neutral zone
Sutter 51.3%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Sutter
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sutter
Sestito
Last 6: Sutter 2-4 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
3
Sutter
Sestito
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Sestito
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Sestito
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
45.7% (230)
-1.0%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
62.5% (8)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
33.3% (12)
+8.9%
On power play, Sestito has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Sutter is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (895).
Sutter shoots right. Sestito is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Sutter
Sestito
Home
44.3% (705)
46.5% (142)
Away
44.4% (644)
45.0% (111)
By Period
Sutter
Sestito
P1
41.0%
43.9%
P2
42.1%
50.0%
P3
49.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |