Scouting Report
Tim Stapleton holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Stapleton 48.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 71.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 71.5%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 55.5%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Sutter
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Sutter
Stapleton
Last 7: Sutter 4-3 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
3
Sutter
Stapleton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Stapleton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
47.2% (214)
-2.5%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
75.0% (8)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
66.7% (3)
-24.5%
On power play, Stapleton has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Sutter is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Sutter shoots right. Stapleton is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stapleton
Home
44.3% (705)
49.6% (115)
Away
44.4% (644)
47.3% (110)
By Period
Sutter
Stapleton
P1
41.0%
54.1%
P2
42.1%
46.3%
P3
49.1%
45.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |