Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Graovac shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Graovac 48.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 68.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 94.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 73.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Sutter
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sutter
Graovac
Last 5: Sutter 4-1 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
0
1
Sutter
Graovac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Graovac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Graovac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
47.5% (341)
+7.1%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
50.0% (2)
+9.3%
On power play, Sutter has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Graovac is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Sutter
Graovac
Home
55.0% (714)
48.6% (181)
Away
53.5% (738)
46.3% (162)
By Period
Sutter
Graovac
P1
54.3%
42.4%
P2
53.1%
46.8%
P3
54.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |