Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Johnson 48.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 79.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 59.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 71.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Sutter
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Sutter
Johnson
Last 8: Sutter 2-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Sutter
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
49.5% (828)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
54.9% (142)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
36.8% (133)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Sutter is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (506).
Sutter shoots right. Johnson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Sutter
Johnson
Home
51.4% (692)
50.7% (564)
Away
49.8% (667)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Sutter
Johnson
P1
50.6%
51.2%
P2
49.1%
47.5%
P3
52.5%
48.4%
OT
45.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |