Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Seguin 49.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 66.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 76.3%
Neutral zone
Sutter 52.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Sutter
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Sutter
Seguin
Last 5: Sutter 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Sutter
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
48.9% (274)
-4.2%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
53.8% (26)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
50.0% (2)
-7.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Sutter is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Sutter shoots right. Seguin is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Sutter
Seguin
Home
44.3% (705)
53.5% (129)
Away
44.4% (644)
46.6% (174)
By Period
Sutter
Seguin
P1
41.0%
52.3%
P2
42.1%
48.1%
P3
49.1%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |