Brandon Sutter vs Tyler Toffoli
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Toffoli 43.0% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 76.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 89.5%
Neutral zone
Sutter 64.2%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Sutter
Toffoli
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Sutter
Toffoli
Last 7: Sutter 4-3 Toffoli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toffoli
0
3
Sutter
Toffoli
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
0
Sutter
Toffoli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
41.2% (274)
+9.7%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
45.0% (40)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
26.3% (19)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Toffoli is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Sutter
Toffoli
Home
50.6% (5,050)
44.5% (155)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Sutter
Toffoli
P1
48.7%
47.4%
P2
50.3%
39.8%
P3
51.5%
32.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Tyler Toffoli |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Tyler Toffoli |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Tyler Toffoli |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 22, 2016 | OT | 02:23 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |