Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Smith 51.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 67.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 85.8%
Neutral zone
Sutter 70.4%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Sutter
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sutter
Smith
Last 5: Sutter 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
53.5% (430)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
47.7% (65)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
49.1% (114)
+0.0%
On power play, Sutter has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Smith is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Sutter
Smith
Home
55.0% (714)
54.0% (298)
Away
53.5% (738)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Sutter
Smith
P1
54.3%
55.4%
P2
53.1%
45.9%
P3
54.8%
54.6%
OT
63.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Zack Smith |