Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 47.0%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Rodrigues 47.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Point leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 75.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 63.8%
Neutral zone
Point 55.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Point
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Point
Rodrigues
Last 10: Point 7-3 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
6
1
Point
Rodrigues
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Rodrigues
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Point
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
47.9% (637)
-1.7%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
47.9% (71)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
37.3% (67)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Point is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Point shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Point
Rodrigues
Home
46.9% (243)
48.3% (429)
Away
46.4% (302)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Point
Rodrigues
P1
46.2%
48.3%
P2
45.9%
46.9%
P3
48.9%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |