Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 51.0% vs Nielsen 46.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 50.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 83.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 71.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Point
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Point
Nielsen
Last 6: Point 1-5 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Point
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
3
Point
Nielsen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (639)
46.5% (409)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.2% (122)
43.5% (23)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
41.7% (24)
+2.1%
On power play, Point has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Point is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Point shoots right. Nielsen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Point
Nielsen
Home
49.4% (387)
44.7% (264)
Away
52.8% (390)
47.9% (192)
By Period
Point
Nielsen
P1
49.1%
48.4%
P2
49.0%
49.7%
P3
54.4%
38.0%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |