Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs McBain 50.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 62.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 84.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 62.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Point
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Point
McBain
Last 5: Point 4-1 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
McBain
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
52.1% (545)
-5.9%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
57.1% (14)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
37.0% (46)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Point
McBain
Home
46.9% (243)
52.2% (289)
Away
46.4% (302)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Point
McBain
P1
46.2%
52.6%
P2
45.9%
53.6%
P3
48.9%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Brayden Point |