Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Thornton 54.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 64.7%
Defensive zone
Point 67.5%
Neutral zone
Point 63.8%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Point
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Point
Thornton
Last 10: Point 3-7 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
3
Point
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
6
Point
Thornton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,051)
53.5% (6,640)
-5.2%
Power Play
54.2% (1,010)
57.2% (1,387)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (244)
56.7% (427)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,265).
Point shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Point
Thornton
Home
49.0% (3,671)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
48.6% (3,634)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Point
Thornton
P1
46.9%
55.0%
P2
51.2%
53.3%
P3
48.1%
54.4%
OT
52.5%
56.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |