Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Point wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.6% vs Thornton 51.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 53.7%
Defensive zone
Point 76.3%
Neutral zone
Point 57.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Point
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Point
Thornton
Last 8: Point 2-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Point
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
4
Point
Thornton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (906)
52.7% (372)
-3.8%
Power Play
53.5% (99)
47.6% (63)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (169)
60.0% (5)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Point is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Point shoots right. Thornton is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Point
Thornton
Home
48.4% (589)
51.2% (250)
Away
46.5% (585)
53.2% (190)
By Period
Point
Thornton
P1
47.4%
56.1%
P2
50.1%
52.8%
P3
44.6%
47.4%
OT
56.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
47.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |