Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Toews 56.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 74.6%
Defensive zone
Point 74.8%
Neutral zone
Point 73.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Point
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Point
Toews
Last 7: Point 1-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Point
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Point
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (728)
56.5% (1,310)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.3% (122)
59.7% (325)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
51.0% (245)
-34.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Point shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Point
Toews
Home
50.7% (424)
56.6% (927)
Away
50.9% (432)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Point
Toews
P1
45.5%
56.3%
P2
55.3%
55.8%
P3
53.0%
57.3%
OT
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 15:51 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |