Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 45.6% vs Nash 49.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 63.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 78.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 57.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Point
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Point
Nash
Last 5: Point 3-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Point
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (462)
50.9% (481)
-6.1%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
27.3% (11)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
40.0% (70)
+10.0%
On power play, Point has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Point is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Point shoots right. Nash is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Point
Nash
Home
46.3% (315)
46.5% (282)
Away
42.4% (217)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Point
Nash
P1
36.9%
48.5%
P2
48.7%
47.3%
P3
47.4%
51.0%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
44.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Brayden Point |