Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Hartman 45.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 57.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 69.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 58.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Point
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Point
Hartman
Last 7: Point 1-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
4
Point
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Point
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
45.1% (874)
+0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
47.4% (95)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
37.5% (16)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Point is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Point shoots right. Hartman is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Point
Hartman
Home
46.6% (264)
45.0% (515)
Away
46.4% (302)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Point
Hartman
P1
46.3%
47.3%
P2
45.5%
40.1%
P3
48.6%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |