Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Kelly 50.1% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 72.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 67.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Schenn
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Schenn
Kelly
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Kelly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
3
Schenn
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Kelly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
51.1% (3,010)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
60.6% (71)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
44.7% (689)
+3.8%
On power play, Kelly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Home / Away
Schenn
Kelly
Home
49.7% (5,030)
52.6% (1,965)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
47.4% (1,813)
By Period
Schenn
Kelly
P1
48.7%
49.2%
P2
48.6%
49.1%
P3
48.3%
51.9%
OT
50.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |