Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.3% vs Kelly 56.2% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 56.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 89.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 77.2%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Schenn
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schenn
Kelly
Last 5: Schenn 4-1 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Schenn
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (414)
58.7% (298)
-12.6%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
100.0% (8)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
49.3% (67)
-49.3%
On power play, Kelly has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Schenn is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Schenn shoots left. Kelly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Schenn
Kelly
Home
42.3% (222)
60.0% (200)
Away
48.5% (231)
55.5% (173)
By Period
Schenn
Kelly
P1
43.9%
55.9%
P2
48.4%
58.4%
P3
43.5%
60.9%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |