Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.8% vs Tierney 50.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 85.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 71.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 76.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Schenn
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Schenn
Tierney
Last 8: Schenn 1-7 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
4
Schenn
Tierney
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
3
Schenn
Tierney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (609)
52.1% (844)
-5.5%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
50.7% (75)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
42.7% (124)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Schenn shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Schenn
Tierney
Home
45.7% (361)
51.2% (521)
Away
49.5% (319)
50.6% (522)
By Period
Schenn
Tierney
P1
54.6%
49.3%
P2
41.0%
50.4%
P3
46.8%
53.4%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |