Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Ryan 55.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 84.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 85.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 88.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Schenn
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
18
(28 meetings)
10
18
Schenn
Ryan
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
8
Schenn
Ryan
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Ryan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
8
Schenn
Ryan
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
56.6% (4,102)
-8.6%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
53.2% (342)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
47.8% (649)
+0.7%
On even strength, Ryan has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Schenn
Ryan
Home
49.7% (5,030)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Schenn
Ryan
P1
48.7%
55.1%
P2
48.6%
54.7%
P3
48.3%
56.0%
OT
50.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |