Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.3%). Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Cozens 52.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 53.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 55.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Schenn
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Schenn
Cozens
Last 7: Schenn 4-3 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Schenn
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Cozens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
52.6% (606)
-1.4%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
58.5% (94)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
33.3% (6)
+39.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Schenn shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Schenn
Cozens
Home
54.0% (367)
54.1% (375)
Away
53.3% (375)
52.3% (331)
By Period
Schenn
Cozens
P1
48.6%
55.8%
P2
52.0%
50.6%
P3
59.0%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |