Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Rodrigues 47.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 69.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 54.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 64.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Schenn
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Schenn
Rodrigues
Last 9: Schenn 5-4 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Rodrigues
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
2
Schenn
Rodrigues
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Rodrigues
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
47.9% (637)
+3.3%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
47.9% (71)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
37.3% (67)
+35.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Schenn shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Schenn
Rodrigues
Home
54.0% (367)
48.3% (429)
Away
53.3% (375)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Schenn
Rodrigues
P1
48.6%
48.3%
P2
52.0%
46.9%
P3
59.0%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |