Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 44.1% vs Mitchell 50.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 80.6%
Defensive zone
Schenn 61.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 70.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Schenn
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Schenn
Mitchell
Last 7: Schenn 2-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Schenn
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Schenn
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (635)
50.6% (607)
-7.9%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
61.2% (49)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
40.2% (92)
+12.7%
On power play, Mitchell has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Schenn is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Schenn shoots left. Mitchell is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Schenn
Mitchell
Home
45.4% (324)
52.0% (406)
Away
41.3% (361)
47.7% (342)
By Period
Schenn
Mitchell
P1
40.8%
51.6%
P2
47.3%
44.0%
P3
40.5%
55.0%
OT
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
43.2%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |