Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kolesar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kolesar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.0% vs Kolesar 47.7% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kolesar 59.9%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 66.2%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Schenn
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schenn
Kolesar
Last 5: Schenn 1-4 Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kolesar
1
2
Schenn
Kolesar
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kolesar
0
2
Schenn
Kolesar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (562)
46.3% (134)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+65.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Schenn is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Schenn shoots left. Kolesar is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Schenn
Kolesar
Home
54.3% (293)
41.2% (51)
Away
50.5% (315)
48.8% (84)
By Period
Schenn
Kolesar
P1
52.0%
50.0%
P2
49.1%
46.9%
P3
55.2%
38.9%
Final 5 min
56.4%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |