Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.8% vs Komarov 47.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 52.6%
Defensive zone
Schenn 61.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 52.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Schenn
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schenn
Komarov
Last 5: Schenn 3-2 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Komarov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Komarov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (609)
48.5% (163)
-1.9%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
0.0% (1)
+57.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
25.0% (20)
+26.6%
On power play, Schenn has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Schenn shoots left. Komarov is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Schenn
Komarov
Home
45.7% (361)
42.9% (84)
Away
49.5% (319)
48.0% (100)
By Period
Schenn
Komarov
P1
54.6%
52.7%
P2
41.0%
48.5%
P3
46.8%
36.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |