Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.3%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Johnson 49.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 62.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 64.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 56.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Schenn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Schenn
Johnson
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
5
1
Schenn
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Schenn
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Schenn
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
51.0% (202)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
66.7% (3)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
30.0% (20)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Johnson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnson
Home
49.7% (5,030)
53.7% (67)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
47.5% (158)
By Period
Schenn
Johnson
P1
48.7%
53.8%
P2
48.6%
53.8%
P3
48.3%
39.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |