Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 48.1%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.8% vs Johnson 49.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 54.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 52.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Schenn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schenn
Johnson
Last 6: Schenn 4-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Schenn
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (609)
52.3% (88)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
27.8% (18)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Schenn is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Schenn shoots left. Johnson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnson
Home
45.7% (361)
56.3% (32)
Away
49.5% (319)
44.6% (74)
By Period
Schenn
Johnson
P1
54.6%
45.2%
P2
41.0%
58.1%
P3
46.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |