Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.0% vs Johnson 50.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 58.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 59.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 56.2%
Result
Luke Johnson favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Schenn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Schenn
Johnson
Last 6: Schenn 3-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Schenn
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (562)
51.8% (85)
+0.3%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
0.0% (1)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+65.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Schenn is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Schenn shoots left. Johnson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnson
Home
54.3% (293)
36.4% (22)
Away
50.5% (315)
55.4% (65)
By Period
Schenn
Johnson
P1
52.0%
65.4%
P2
49.1%
47.8%
P3
55.2%
42.1%
Final 5 min
56.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |