Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.7% vs Scheifele 46.9% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 84.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 61.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 71.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 80.6%
19.4%
80.6%
Schenn
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schenn
Scheifele
Last 6: Schenn 2-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
4
Schenn
Scheifele
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (709)
46.2% (1,016)
+6.1%
Power Play
63.0% (108)
48.7% (197)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (26)
48.3% (60)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Schenn is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Schenn shoots left. Scheifele is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Schenn
Scheifele
Home
54.9% (452)
46.0% (645)
Away
53.2% (391)
47.3% (628)
By Period
Schenn
Scheifele
P1
51.4%
51.7%
P2
52.7%
44.7%
P3
57.5%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
60.0%▲
54.0%
54.1%
Scheifele
42.0%▼
47.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |