Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.5% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 21-10 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 86.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 91.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 89.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Schenn
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
21
(31 meetings)
10
21
Schenn
Kesler
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
2
Schenn
Kesler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
10
Schenn
Kesler
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
9
Schenn
Kesler
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (8,691)
56.4% (8,095)
-8.5%
Power Play
53.5% (1,025)
60.7% (1,437)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (392)
50.5% (1,908)
-2.0%
On even strength, Kesler has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Schenn is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,519).
Schenn shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Schenn
Kesler
Home
49.7% (4,994)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.4% (5,118)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Schenn
Kesler
P1
48.6%
56.5%
P2
48.6%
55.9%
P3
48.2%
56.1%
OT
50.9%
46.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
48.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 1, 2017 | OT | 04:19 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |