Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.2% vs Kesler 52.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 90.7%
Defensive zone
Schenn 61.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 73.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Schenn
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Schenn
Kesler
Last 8: Schenn 1-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Schenn
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Schenn
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,112)
55.2% (567)
-7.1%
Power Play
50.7% (213)
54.9% (51)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
45.0% (131)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Schenn is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Schenn shoots left. Kesler is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Schenn
Kesler
Home
50.5% (709)
55.7% (388)
Away
45.4% (665)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Schenn
Kesler
P1
50.5%
56.3%
P2
47.4%
52.5%
P3
46.6%
52.6%
OT
41.7%
35.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |